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FEBRUARY 2009
Construction of environmental infrastructures
least likely to be affected
Environment and building technologies
industry outlook for 2009
The global environment market has
generated $650 million in 2008 and
the market is growing by double digits.
From 2002 to 2015, market growth
will likely measure up to 45 percent.
While there are niches where the
growth is higher than the rest, the
environmental sector has demonstrated
overall resilience to the global
economic slowdown so far.
According to Frost & Sullivan
Asia Pacific consulting head of environmental
and building technologies practice
Sapan Agarwal, the first half of
2009 may be slightly grimmer than
average given that companies are
cautious in spending. Nonetheless,
this phenomenon is likely to fade
away beyond the first half of the
year.
He added that business in Asia has
been on the growth trend mainly because
of rising consumer awareness and
an ever increasing population. Urbanization
has also been a key contributor to
the industry growth. While the timing
and speed of urbanization has varied
and is varying between countries
in Asia, on average, an additional
48 million people will have migrated
to Asian cities in 2008. This directly
translates into intense pressure
on urban infrastructure and also
rising demands for equipment and
services such as water and waste
management. The global environment
market is 47 percent water, 39 percent
waste, 9 percent air and 5 percent
others.
“Greening of technologies and processes
is a strong trend in most of the
industries today and with a shift
in confidence later in 2009, businesses
in the environment sector may see
steeper growth rates that may have
dipped slightly during the first
6 months of the year,” Agarwal said.
He continued to say that businesses
within the environment sector that
are mass consumer centric such as
residential water filters, air filters,
etc. have been buoyed by the growing
health and wellness sentiments among
Asians, although the average spending
power of the consumer has stayed
with caution.
According to Agarwal, “Exchange rate
fluctuations in some countries in
Asia have lately been quite rough
and this may hurt companies, especially
multinationals, who tend to lose
anywhere from 5 percent up to as
high as 20 percent owing to dipping
exchange rates.”
Businesses that are related to infrastructure
projects have been more or less insulated
from the state of economy in the
United States with the ongoing projects.
However, the planned projects may
see some delays, albeit nothing alarming,
mainly owing to factors such as uncertain
oil and commodity prices.
“There have been no cuts in budgets
related to environments and we do
not foresee that happening either,”
he said. “Contractors and service
providers may see some shrinking
margins, though, given the volatile
costs of logistics and materials.
Environment businesses related to
manufacturing and industries have
been the ones that have started to
witness dipping business as a result
of industries conserving cash and
suspending expenditures and investments.”
Overall, Asia’s economy will continue
to be driven by the growth engines
of China, India, and Southeast Asia,
where environmental market opportunities
are vast, in tandem with its socioeconomic
growth. However, with Japan currently
declaring an economic recession,
Japan’s environmental revenues are
expected to further decline in the
already saturated marketplace.
In terms of industry specifics, Agarwal
said that the volatile economic times
may spur mergers and acquisitions
in the region. “Opportunistic technology
providers/manufacturers from Europe,
United States, and even Japan may
invest with Asian companies that
suffer from lack of funds,” he added.
He went on to say that construction
of environmental infrastructure is
least likely to be affected though
cost-cutting measures being considered
at many sites in the form of compact
construction schedules and locking
prices of materials and equipment
to cushion the rising energy costs.
“Overall growth is likely to be between
7 to 10 percent. The Middle East
is expected to witness better growth
due to its ever higher demand for
water and waste management. Desalination
technology and its projects are one
of the more potent markets emerging
and will hold its ground for stable
growth,” Agarwal said.
He continued to say that the environmental
outlook in 2009 will most likely
be focused on retrofits, service
contracts, and implementation of
approved new infrastructure projects
prior to 2008-2009.
“Contractors and suppliers involved
with approved projects in 2009 are
expected to witness tighter margins
as a result of volatile energy cost,”
he added.
Factors that may impede growth and
profitability, as identified by Agarwal,
include: increasing electricity tariffs,
uncertain oil prices and subsidies
and finance interest rates – all
of which have a domino effect on
support services such as cost of
materials, logistics, and labor.
“The municipal sector will stand
a better chance over the industrial
sector – reduction of plant production
capacity due to the economy may reduce
dependency on new installations and
upgrades of process treatments with
regard to the environment as less
water usage means less waste generation
and less air pollution.”
“This will be more apparent in Southeast
Asia,” he added. “Continuous industrialization
and urbanization in India and China
will boost demand for environmental
services and products.”
Agarwal expects the demand for water
to increase with or without the negative
impact of the United States economy,
as environmental companies should
now focus on the development of products
with energy saving features and high
efficiency.
Continuous pressure from developed
nations for environmental protection
in Asia will also serve as an industry
driver.
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